The Economist - How grain has gone from famine to feast
In fact, Mr Trump’s policies may well be dampening near-term prices. Wary of presidential surprises, American farmers are “front-loading” their exports, which is “more something you see in Russia”, notes Mike Verdin of CRM AgriCommodities, a consultancy. Uncertainty and high interest rates have also pushed investment funds away from commodities and into other assets. Those that remain are betting grain prices will fall. Having hit a record in May, net short positions on Chicago wheat contracts remain high.
CRM AgriCommodities has been ranked #1 globally for corn forecasts and #2 overall research team in the 2026 Analyst Commodity Forecast Awards by FocusEconomics, a leading provider of global economic and commodity consensus forecasts.
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"Ideas of a recovery in Russian shipments are overshadowed by a firmer rouble than a year ago ... and by a rebuild in the export tax," consultancy CRM Agri said.